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Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruud Prediction, Head-to-Head, Odds & Pick - Matchstat.com

By Wojtek Kolan

At Matchstat.com we give you unbeatable in-depth analysis of past and current event tennis stats, to give you accurate tennis predictions, picks, odds and value bets. Let's dive in with our Alcaraz vs Ruud analysis and find out who is favored!

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Up to 78% win accuracy on past h2h matches

Carlos Alcaraz vs Casper Ruud Important H2H Prediction Stats:

Head-to-head: Alcaraz 4 - 0 Ruud

  • Second serve performance recent form: In recent form (last 6 months), Alcaraz has won 57.74% of points on their second serve, while Ruud has won 54.57%. There is a high correlation between this stat and match prediction accuracy.
  • Return game stats recent form: Return stats show Alcaraz, in recent form, has won 58.35% of their opponent's second serve points, while Ruud has won 51.08%. The same stats for first serve returns are 36.64% and 31.57% respectively and this has a high correlation to pick who is favored in this H2H matchup.
  • Under pressure analysis: Alcaraz has saved 62.67% of breakpoints in recent form, whereas Ruud has saved 65.25% which is a useful statistic for in-game betting predictions.
  • Performance overview: Over the last year Alcaraz has won 81.43% of matches played (W/L 57/ 13), with Ruud winning 72% (W/L 54/ 21) that gives us an overall head-to head prediction overview.
  • Best surface: Alcaraz has their best career surface win % on Grass, winning 89% (W/L 16/ 2), and worse career win % on I.hard, winning 57% (W/L 13/ 10). Ruud has their best career surface win % on Clay, winning 70% (W/L 234/ 102), and worse career win % on Grass, winning 36% (W/L 4/ 7).
  • Player level: In the last year, Alcaraz has played most of their matches on the Masters series, winning 76.92% of matches (W/L 20/ 6), where as Ruud has played most of their matches on the Main tour, winning 78.95% of matches (W/L 30/ 8). When comparing stats between players to predict the favorite, it is of course all relative to the event level they have been playing at.
  • Direct H2H matches: They have played 4 times before with Alcaraz winning 4 times and Ruud being victorious 0 times. They have played 10 sets in total, with Alcaraz winning 9 and Ruud winning 1. The last match between Alcaraz and Ruud was at the China Open - Beijing, 02-10-2023, Quarterfinals, Hard with Carlos Alcaraz getting the victory 6-4 6-2.
  • Head to head match duration: In past head to head matches, the average match time between these players has been 2:4:5.
  • Deciding set H2H prediction: Alcaraz and Ruud have played a deciding set 0 times, with Alcaraz winning 0 times and Ruud 0 times. Very useful for predicting the outcome if this match goes the distance.
  • Head-to-Head extreme pressure situations: They have played 1 tiebreaks against each other with Alcaraz winning 1, and Ruud 0.
  • Opponent quality stats: Over the last 12 months, Alcaraz has played against opponents with an average rank of 92.8 while Ruud has played against players with an average rank of 136.95.
  • Deciding set performance vs all players: If you are interested in live predictions and betting, if this match goes into a deciding set, Alcaraz has won 74% of deciding sets over the last 12 months, while Ruud has won 63% in all matches played on tour.
  • Break point conversion: In recent form, Alcaraz has converted 45.3% of breakpoint opportunities, and Ruud has converted 41.42% of their chances to break their opponents serve. A telling stat for in-game live betting tips when either player has a breakpoint opportunity.
  • If you are interested in models that predict tennis matches, this article is a good start (Warning: Stats geeks only)
bet365
Carlos Alcaraz

21

Total

5

Mast

4

Chall

3

Slam

6

Main

3

Minor

2

Rank

1

High

21

Age

R

Plays

4

Total

0

3

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

7

Rank

2

High

25

Age

R

Plays

Casper Ruud

15

Total

0

Mast

1

Chall

0

Slam

12

Main

2

Minor

4

Total

0

3

Hard

0

1

Clay

0

0

Indoor

0

0

Grass

0

W W L W W W W W W W

Form

L W W W W W W W W L

79% (255-68)

Career Total W/L

66% (396-208)

83% (25-5)

YTD W/L

80% (39-10)

$21,310,640

Career Prize Money

$11,273,915

2

YTD Titles

2

Currently displayed stats includes matches of all levels. To exclude lower level events (as per ATP / WTA official stats) toggle button in page footer.

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Alcaraz VS Ruud H2H Stats Used In Our Predictions

stats Carlos Alcaraz Casper Ruud
All H2H Matches 4 0
Sets Won 9 1
Games Won 58 40
Aces (Total) 28 10
DFs (Total) 6 11
Avg Match Time 2:4:5 2:4:5
1st Serve % 66% (199/301) 61% (200/326)
1st Serve Win% 75% (149/199) 61% (122/200)
2nd Serve Win% 53% (54/102) 52% (65/126)
BPs Won% (Total) 37% (16/43) 33% (8/24)
Return Points W% 43% (139/326) 33% (98/301)
Best of 3 Sets W% 100% (3/3) 0% (0/3)
Best of 5 Sets W% 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
TBs Win% (Total) 100% (1/1) 0% (0/1)
Deciding Set Win% 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, W 100% (4/4) 0% (0/0)
1st set W, L 0% (4/0) 0% (0/0)
1st set L, W 0% (0/0) 0% (4/0)

Alcaraz VS Ruud H2h Matches played

Winning Player Losing Player Score
6-4 6-2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Casper Ruud
69% ( 38 of 55)
1st Serve %
65% ( 50 of 77)
6
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
4
71% ( 27 of 38)
1st Serve Won
62% ( 31 of 50)
65% ( 11 of 17)
2nd Serve Won
30% ( 8 of 27)
27% ( 4 of 15)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
31% ( 17 of 55)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 38 of 77)
76
Total Points Won
56
6-4 2-6 7-6(1) 6-3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Casper Ruud
64% ( 85 of 132)
1st Serve %
61% ( 71 of 117)
14
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
2
74% ( 63 of 85)
1st Serve Won
66% ( 47 of 71)
51% ( 24 of 47)
2nd Serve Won
65% ( 30 of 46)
27% ( 3 of 11)
Break Points Won
30% ( 3 of 10)
34% ( 45 of 132)
Rtn Points Won
34% ( 40 of 117)
127
Total Points Won
122
7-5 6-4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Casper Ruud
71% ( 48 of 68)
1st Serve %
59% ( 43 of 73)
6
Aces
5
2
Double Faults
3
75% ( 36 of 48)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 26 of 43)
45% ( 9 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 16 of 30)
44% ( 4 of 9)
Break Points Won
25% ( 2 of 8)
34% ( 23 of 68)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 31 of 73)
76
Total Points Won
65
6-2 6-4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Casper Ruud
61% ( 28 of 46)
1st Serve %
61% ( 36 of 59)
2
Aces
0
0
Double Faults
2
82% ( 23 of 28)
1st Serve Won
50% ( 18 of 36)
56% ( 10 of 18)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 11 of 23)
63% ( 5 of 8)
Break Points Won
50% ( 2 of 4)
28% ( 13 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
51% ( 30 of 59)
63
Total Points Won
42

Stats Breakdown Vs All H2H Opponents

stats Carlos Alcaraz Casper Ruud
YTD W/L 83% (25/5) 80% (39/10)
Sets Win/Loss 78% (63/18) 70% (89/38)
Games Win/Loss 60% (444/293) 57% (677/518)
Hard Win/Loss 87% (13/2) 77% (17/5)
Clay Win/Loss 80% (12/3) 81% (21/5)
Indoor Hard W/L 0% (0/0) 100% (1/0)
Grass Win/Loss 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Aces pg 0.26 0.42
Aces Total 93 246
DFs per game 0.16 0.14
DFs Total 57 82
Avg Match Time 2:2:15 1:54:50
Avg Opp Rank 116.53 116.61
1st Serve % 67% (1507/2235) 66% (2398/3657)
1st Serve W% 71% (1074/1507) 73% (1748/2398)
2nd Serve W% 57% (416/728) 55% (687/1259)
BPs Won% Total 45% (129/286) 41% (157/379)
Return Pts W% 44% (1071/2430) 39% (1430/3668)
Slam W/L 92% (11/1) 75% (6/2)
Masters W/L 86% (12/2) 69% (11/5)
Cups W/L 0% (0/0) 100% (1/0)
Main Tour W/L 50% (2/2) 88% (21/3)
Tour Finals W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Challenger W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Futures W/L 0% (0/0) 0% (0/0)
Best of 3 Sets W% 82% (14/17) 80% (33/41)
Best of 5 Sets W% 92% (11/12) 75% (6/8)
TBs Win% (Total) 67% (8/12) 67% (10/15)
Deciding Set W% 83% (5/6) 80% (12/15)
1st set W, W 96% (23/22) 94% (36/34)
1st set W, L 4% (23/1) 6% (36/2)
1st set L, W 50% (6/3) 38% (13/5)

Carlos Alcaraz Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
F
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Alexander Zverev
60% ( 96 of 159)
1st Serve %
73% ( 97 of 133)
3
Aces
8
6
Double Faults
6
65% ( 62 of 96)
1st Serve Won
63% ( 61 of 97)
49% ( 31 of 63)
2nd Serve Won
33% ( 12 of 36)
56% ( 9 of 16)
Break Points Won
26% ( 6 of 23)
42% ( 66 of 159)
Rtn Points Won
45% ( 60 of 133)
153
Total Points Won
139
W
6-3 2-6 5-7 6-1 6-2 H2H
SF
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jannik Sinner
66% ( 103 of 157)
1st Serve %
56% ( 76 of 135)
8
Aces
7
7
Double Faults
8
66% ( 68 of 103)
1st Serve Won
74% ( 56 of 76)
46% ( 25 of 54)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 27 of 59)
43% ( 6 of 14)
Break Points Won
60% ( 6 of 10)
41% ( 64 of 157)
Rtn Points Won
39% ( 52 of 135)
145
Total Points Won
147
W
2-6 6-3 3-6 6-4 6-3 H2H
QF
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Stefanos Tsitsipas
73% ( 61 of 84)
1st Serve %
61% ( 60 of 98)
3
Aces
2
1
Double Faults
4
74% ( 45 of 61)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 39 of 60)
74% ( 17 of 23)
2nd Serve Won
53% ( 20 of 38)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
26% ( 22 of 84)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 39 of 98)
101
Total Points Won
81
W
6-3 7-6(3) 6-4 H2H
R4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Felix Auger Aliassime
67% ( 53 of 79)
1st Serve %
57% ( 48 of 84)
1
Aces
0
2
Double Faults
5
75% ( 40 of 53)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 29 of 48)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
39% ( 14 of 36)
38% ( 6 of 16)
Break Points Won
20% ( 1 of 5)
32% ( 25 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 41 of 84)
95
Total Points Won
68
W
6-3 6-3 6-1 H2H
R3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Sebastian Korda
78% ( 70 of 90)
1st Serve %
58% ( 72 of 124)
3
Aces
1
0
Double Faults
2
73% ( 51 of 70)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 44 of 72)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
48% ( 25 of 52)
33% ( 4 of 12)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
29% ( 26 of 90)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 55 of 124)
119
Total Points Won
95
W
6-4 7-6(5) 6-3 H2H
R2
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jesper De Jong
70% ( 78 of 112)
1st Serve %
58% ( 72 of 124)
2
Aces
2
2
Double Faults
7
64% ( 50 of 78)
1st Serve Won
56% ( 40 of 72)
50% ( 17 of 34)
2nd Serve Won
44% ( 23 of 52)
44% ( 8 of 18)
Break Points Won
42% ( 5 of 12)
40% ( 45 of 112)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 61 of 124)
128
Total Points Won
108
W
6-3 6-4 2-6 6-2 H2H
R1
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jeff Wolf
70% ( 47 of 67)
1st Serve %
56% ( 37 of 66)
5
Aces
0
1
Double Faults
1
70% ( 33 of 47)
1st Serve Won
46% ( 17 of 37)
65% ( 13 of 20)
2nd Serve Won
28% ( 8 of 29)
64% ( 9 of 14)
Break Points Won
29% ( 2 of 7)
31% ( 21 of 67)
Rtn Points Won
62% ( 41 of 66)
87
Total Points Won
46
W
6-1 6-2 6-1 H2H
QF
cross
Andrey Rublev
Player
Carlos Alcaraz
74% ( 64 of 86)
1st Serve %
70% ( 57 of 81)
5
Aces
1
2
Double Faults
2
80% ( 51 of 64)
1st Serve Won
60% ( 34 of 57)
45% ( 10 of 22)
2nd Serve Won
71% ( 17 of 24)
23% ( 3 of 13)
Break Points Won
13% ( 1 of 8)
29% ( 25 of 86)
Rtn Points Won
37% ( 30 of 81)
91
Total Points Won
76
L
4-6 6-3 6-2 H2H
R4
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Jan-Lennard Struff
63% ( 83 of 131)
1st Serve %
61% ( 63 of 103)
3
Aces
10
4
Double Faults
4
59% ( 49 of 83)
1st Serve Won
78% ( 49 of 63)
69% ( 33 of 48)
2nd Serve Won
43% ( 17 of 40)
50% ( 3 of 6)
Break Points Won
20% ( 2 of 10)
37% ( 49 of 131)
Rtn Points Won
36% ( 37 of 103)
119
Total Points Won
115
W
6-3 6-7(5) 7-6(4) H2H
R3
cross
Carlos Alcaraz
Player
Thiago Seyboth Wild
67% ( 31 of 46)
1st Serve %
54% ( 33 of 61)
2
Aces
3
1
Double Faults
5
87% ( 27 of 31)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 22 of 33)
47% ( 7 of 15)
2nd Serve Won
32% ( 9 of 28)
67% ( 4 of 6)
Break Points Won
50% ( 1 of 2)
26% ( 12 of 46)
Rtn Points Won
49% ( 30 of 61)
64
Total Points Won
43
W
6-3 6-3 H2H

Casper Ruud Recent Matches Played

opponent Result Score H2H
SF
cross
Alexander Zverev
Player
Casper Ruud
68% ( 56 of 82)
1st Serve %
67% ( 71 of 106)
19
Aces
4
4
Double Faults
0
86% ( 48 of 56)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 49 of 71)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
40% ( 14 of 35)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
67% ( 2 of 3)
24% ( 20 of 82)
Rtn Points Won
41% ( 43 of 106)
105
Total Points Won
83
L
2-6 6-2 6-4 6-2 H2H
QF
W
w/o H2H
R4
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Taylor Fritz
58% ( 74 of 127)
1st Serve %
56% ( 91 of 163)
11
Aces
19
7
Double Faults
4
69% ( 51 of 74)
1st Serve Won
71% ( 65 of 91)
60% ( 32 of 53)
2nd Serve Won
38% ( 27 of 72)
22% ( 6 of 27)
Break Points Won
33% ( 4 of 12)
35% ( 44 of 127)
Rtn Points Won
44% ( 71 of 163)
154
Total Points Won
136
W
7-6(6) 3-6 6-4 6-2 H2H
R3
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Tomas Martin Etcheverry
69% ( 82 of 119)
1st Serve %
60% ( 55 of 91)
6
Aces
6
5
Double Faults
6
66% ( 54 of 82)
1st Serve Won
55% ( 30 of 55)
41% ( 15 of 37)
2nd Serve Won
47% ( 17 of 36)
73% ( 8 of 11)
Break Points Won
33% ( 6 of 18)
42% ( 50 of 119)
Rtn Points Won
48% ( 44 of 91)
113
Total Points Won
97
W
6-4 1-6 6-2 6-2 H2H
R2
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
66% ( 97 of 146)
1st Serve %
71% ( 115 of 161)
11
Aces
4
3
Double Faults
4
69% ( 67 of 97)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 75 of 115)
47% ( 23 of 49)
2nd Serve Won
46% ( 21 of 46)
36% ( 5 of 14)
Break Points Won
36% ( 5 of 14)
38% ( 56 of 146)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 65 of 161)
155
Total Points Won
152
W
7-6(5) 1-6 6-3 4-6 6-3 H2H
R1
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Felipe Meligeni Alves
89% ( 64 of 72)
1st Serve %
69% ( 62 of 90)
1
Aces
4
0
Double Faults
0
80% ( 51 of 64)
1st Serve Won
65% ( 40 of 62)
88% ( 7 of 8)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 14 of 28)
36% ( 4 of 11)
Break Points Won
0% ( 0 of 1)
19% ( 14 of 72)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 36 of 90)
94
Total Points Won
68
W
6-3 6-4 6-3 H2H
F
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Tomas Machac
65% ( 48 of 74)
1st Serve %
54% ( 38 of 71)
2
Aces
3
0
Double Faults
3
69% ( 33 of 48)
1st Serve Won
61% ( 23 of 38)
54% ( 14 of 26)
2nd Serve Won
55% ( 18 of 33)
75% ( 3 of 4)
Break Points Won
100% ( 1 of 1)
36% ( 27 of 74)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 30 of 71)
77
Total Points Won
68
W
7-5 6-3 H2H
SF
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Flavio Cobolli
64% ( 49 of 77)
1st Serve %
61% ( 51 of 83)
2
Aces
8
2
Double Faults
1
65% ( 32 of 49)
1st Serve Won
67% ( 34 of 51)
64% ( 18 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
50% ( 16 of 32)
33% ( 3 of 9)
Break Points Won
50% ( 3 of 6)
35% ( 27 of 77)
Rtn Points Won
40% ( 33 of 83)
83
Total Points Won
77
W
1-6 6-1 7-6(4) H2H
QF
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Sebastian Baez
63% ( 50 of 79)
1st Serve %
80% ( 67 of 84)
3
Aces
2
0
Double Faults
2
68% ( 34 of 50)
1st Serve Won
69% ( 46 of 67)
55% ( 16 of 29)
2nd Serve Won
35% ( 6 of 17)
80% ( 4 of 5)
Break Points Won
100% ( 3 of 3)
37% ( 29 of 79)
Rtn Points Won
38% ( 32 of 84)
82
Total Points Won
81
W
6-3 3-6 6-4 H2H
R2
cross
Casper Ruud
Player
Sebastian Ofner
60% ( 42 of 70)
1st Serve %
48% ( 39 of 81)
4
Aces
1
1
Double Faults
0
69% ( 29 of 42)
1st Serve Won
72% ( 28 of 39)
68% ( 19 of 28)
2nd Serve Won
45% ( 19 of 42)
42% ( 5 of 12)
Break Points Won
100% ( 2 of 2)
31% ( 22 of 70)
Rtn Points Won
42% ( 34 of 81)
82
Total Points Won
69
W
4-6 6-2 6-2 H2H

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